Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Mar 12th, 2025

Kevin Blue • March 12, 2025

Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 25 basis points to 2¾%


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Media Relations

Ottawa, Ontario

March 12, 2025


The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 2.75%, with the Bank Rate at 3% and the deposit rate at 2.70%.


The Canadian economy entered 2025 in a solid position, with inflation close to the 2% target and robust GDP growth. However, heightened trade tensions and tariffs imposed by the United States will likely slow the pace of economic activity and increase inflationary pressures in Canada. The economic outlook continues to be subject to more-than-usual uncertainty because of the rapidly evolving policy landscape.


After a period of solid growth, the US economy looks to have slowed in recent months. US inflation remains slightly above target. Economic growth in the euro zone was modest in late 2024. China’s economy has posted strong gains, supported by government policies. Equity prices have fallen and bond yields have eased on market expectations of weaker North American growth. Oil prices have been volatile and are trading below the assumptions in the Bank’s January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). The Canadian dollar is broadly unchanged against the US dollar but weaker against other currencies.


Canada’s economy grew by 2.6% in the fourth quarter of 2024 following upwardly revised growth of 2.2% in the third quarter. This growth path is stronger than was expected at the time of the January MPR. Past cuts to interest rates have boosted economic activity, particularly consumption and housing. However, economic growth in the first quarter of 2025 will likely slow as the intensifying trade conflict weighs on sentiment and activity. Recent surveys suggest a sharp drop in consumer confidence and a slowdown in business spending as companies postpone or cancel investments. The negative impact of slowing domestic demand has been partially offset by a surge in exports in advance of tariffs being imposed. 


Employment growth strengthened in November through January and the unemployment rate declined to 6.6%. In February, job growth stalled. While past interest rate cuts have boosted demand for labour in recent months, there are warning signs that heightened trade tensions could disrupt the recovery in the jobs market. Meanwhile, wage growth has shown signs of moderation.


Inflation remains close to the 2% target. The temporary suspension of the GST/HST lowered some consumer prices, but January’s CPI was slightly firmer than expected at 1.9%. Inflation is expected to increase to about 2½% in March with the end of the tax break. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation remain above 2%, mainly because of the persistence of shelter price inflation. Short-term inflation expectations have risen in light of fears about the impact of tariffs on prices.


While economic growth has come in stronger than expected, the pervasive uncertainty created by continuously changing US tariff threats is restraining consumers’ spending intentions and businesses’ plans to hire and invest. Against this background, and with inflation close to the 2% target, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by a further 25 basis points.


Monetary policy cannot offset the impacts of a trade war. What it can and must do is ensure that higher prices do not lead to ongoing inflation. Governing Council will be carefully assessing the timing and strength of both the downward pressures on inflation from a weaker economy and the upward pressures on inflation from higher costs. The Council will also be closely monitoring inflation expectations. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians.


Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is April 16, 2025. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR at the same time.


KEVIN
MORTGAGE BROKER

CONTACT ME
By Kevin Blue • November 4, 2026
Why a Mortgage Pre-Approval Protects Both Your Head and Your Heart There’s no denying it—buying a home is an emotional journey. In a competitive market, it can feel like you need to stretch beyond your comfort zone or bid above asking just to have a chance. That pressure can make it hard to separate what you want from what you can realistically afford. One of the biggest pitfalls buyers face is falling in love with a home that’s outside their price range. Once that happens, every other property seems like a compromise—even the ones that might have been a perfect fit otherwise. The best way to avoid this heartache? Get pre-approved before you start shopping. What a Pre-Approval Does for You A mortgage pre-approval gives you more than just a number—it provides clarity, confidence, and protection: Know your buying power : Shop within your true price range and avoid disappointment. Spot potential roadblocks : Uncover issues like credit bureau errors before you make an offer. Get organized : Learn exactly what documentation you’ll need so there are no surprises. Lock in a rate : Many lenders hold your rate for 30–120 days, giving you peace of mind if rates rise. Save yourself heartache : Protect yourself from falling for a home you can’t afford. Head vs. Heart Buying a home is about balance. Your head tells you what’s financially sound, your heart tells you what feels right—and both matter. A pre-approval helps bring those two sides together, so you can make confident choices without emotional stress clouding your judgment. The Bottom Line Looking at properties for fun is one thing—but if you’re serious about buying, a pre-approval is the smartest first step you can take. It sets realistic expectations, saves time, and protects your emotions along the way. If you’d like to explore your options and get pre-approved, I’d be happy to walk through the process with you. Let’s make sure you’re ready to shop with confidence.
By Kevin Blue • October 28, 2026
This morning, the Bank of Canada raised its key interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 2.5%. Whether you own a home in Parksville or Qualicum Beach, have a renewal on the horizon, or you're in the middle of a build or commercial deal, this decision is worth understanding. Here's what changed, why it happened, and what I'd be thinking about if I were in your shoes.  Why the Bank of Canada Raised Rates The short answer is inflation. Prices have been rising faster than the Bank's 2% target, and it wants to get ahead of the problem before it spreads. Here's what's behind the decision: High energy prices. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has kept oil prices elevated for months. Inflation has been running around 3% since April and is expected to reach about 3.5% by the end of the year. Rising business costs. Higher fuel and imported material costs are making it more expensive to produce and ship goods. The Bank expects more of those costs to be passed on to consumers over the next year. A stronger economy than expected. Canada's economy grew faster than forecast through the middle of the year, supported by solid consumer spending and a rebound in business investment. By raising rates now, the Bank is trying to stop high energy costs from pushing up the price of everything else. What This Means for Homeowners Variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs Lenders typically adjust their prime rate to match the Bank of Canada's moves, and variable mortgages and home equity lines of credit are tied to prime. Expect your rate to go up by about 0.25%. Depending on your mortgage, that means either a higher payment or more of your payment going to interest. Fixed-rate mortgages Your rate and payment won't change until your term ends. Fixed rates for new mortgages follow the bond market, and bond yields have already been rising, so fixed rates may stay elevated or move higher. Renewals If your renewal is within the next few months, start the conversation now. Many lenders let you secure a rate up to 120 days in advance, which can protect you if rates keep climbing. And please don't just sign your bank's renewal letter. It's rarely their best offer. Buyers Higher rates can reduce how much you qualify for. A pre-approval lets you hold a rate while you shop, so you know your real budget before making an offer. My mortgage calculators are a good place to start running numbers. What This Means for Builds, Commercial and Private Deals This is where rate changes can have the biggest ripple effect, and where planning ahead pays off most. Construction projects Many construction and draw mortgages are tied to prime during the build, so your interest costs may rise as funds are advanced. If you're mid-build, it's worth reviewing your budget for carrying costs. If you're planning a project, factor today's rates into your numbers from day one. Learn more about my construction financing services. Commercial borrowers Variable commercial loans will feel this increase directly. If you're refinancing or acquiring a property, higher rates can affect how lenders view your debt coverage, so the structure of the deal matters more than ever. See my commercial lending page for the types of files I work on. Private lending Private loans are usually short-term bridges to institutional financing. When rates are rising, your exit strategy deserves extra attention. Make sure the takeout financing still works at today's rates, not just the rates you assumed when the deal started. Read more about private lending . What to Expect Next The Bank of Canada said further increases are possible, but it plans to move carefully given uncertainty around energy prices and Canada-US trade. Its forecast has inflation averaging about 3% through 2027 before returning to the 2% target by mid-2028. The next rate announcement is scheduled for December 9, 2026 . Frequently Asked Questions What is the Bank of Canada's rate now? As of October 28, 2026, the Bank of Canada's policy rate is 2.5%, up from 2.25%. Will my mortgage payment go up? If you have a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a prime-based construction loan, it likely will. Fixed-rate mortgages won't change until the term ends. Should I lock in a fixed rate? It depends on your terms, any penalties for switching, and your plans for the property. This is exactly what my annual mortgage reviews are for, and the right answer looks different for everyone. When is the next rate announcement? December 9, 2026. Let's Talk About Your Situation Rate changes are a good reminder to check that your financing still fits your plans. Whether you're a homeowner in Parksville or Qualicum Beach, mid-way through a build, or working on a commercial or private deal anywhere on Vancouver Island, I'd be happy to review where you stand. Reach out anytime, or apply online to get started. No obligation, no pressure. This article is for general information only and is not financial advice. Rates and lender policies change often. Please speak with a licensed mortgage professional about your specific situation.
By Kevin Blue • October 21, 2026
Don’t Forget About Closing Costs When planning to buy a home, most people focus on saving for the down payment. But the truth is, that’s only part of the equation. To actually finalize the purchase, you’ll also need to budget for closing costs —the out-of-pocket expenses that come up before you get the keys. Closing costs can add up quickly, which is why they should be part of your pre-approval conversation right from the start. Lenders will even require proof that you’ve got enough funds set aside. For example, if you’re getting an insured (high-ratio) mortgage, you’ll need at least 1.5% of the purchase price available in addition to your down payment. That means a 10% down payment actually requires 11.5% of the purchase price in cash to make everything work. Let’s break down some of the most common expenses you should prepare for: 1. Home Inspection & Appraisal Inspection : Paid by you, this gives peace of mind that the property is in good shape and doesn’t have hidden problems. Appraisal : Required by the lender to confirm value. Sometimes this is covered by mortgage insurance, sometimes by you. 2. Legal Fees A lawyer or notary is required to handle the title transfer and make sure the mortgage is properly registered. Legal fees are often one of the larger closing costs—unless you’re also responsible for property transfer tax. 3. Taxes Many provinces charge a property or land transfer tax based on the home’s purchase price. These fees can range from hundreds to thousands of dollars, so you’ll want to factor them in early. 4. Insurance Property insurance is mandatory—lenders won’t release funds without proof that the home is insured on closing day. Optional coverage like mortgage life, disability, or critical illness insurance may also be worth considering depending on your financial plan. 5. Moving Costs Whether you’re renting a truck, hiring movers, or bribing friends with pizza and gas money, moving comes with expenses. Cross-country moves especially can be surprisingly pricey. 6. Utilities & Deposits Setting up new services (electricity, water, internet) can involve connection fees or deposits, particularly if you don’t already have a payment history with the utility provider. Plan Ahead, Stress Less This list covers the big-ticket items, but every purchase is unique. That’s why it pays to have an accurate estimate of your personal closing costs before you make an offer. If you’d like help planning ahead—or want a breakdown tailored to your situation—let’s connect. I’d be happy to walk you through the numbers and make sure you’re fully prepared.