Unsure About the Housing Market? Let's Talk.
Kevin Blue • December 24, 2025
If you’ve been thinking about buying a property, whether that be your first home, next home, forever home, or a home to retire into, the current state of the Canadian economy might have you wondering: Is this really the right time to make a move? There is certainly no shortage of doom and gloom in the news out there.
The truth is, that’s a tough question to answer in the best of times. It’s nearly impossible to know for sure what’s going to happen next with the housing market in Canada. It could heat up or it could cool down.
So here’s some advice. Instead of basing your buying decision entirely on external market factors, like the economy or housing market, consider looking for the answers internally. When you stop looking at the market to determine your timing to buy a home, and instead examine the personal reasons you have for wanting to buy a home, the picture can become much clearer.
Here are some questions to consider. Although they are subjective, they will help bring you clarity. Ask yourself:
- Does buying a property now put me in a better financial position?
- Do I make enough money now to afford a new home and maintain my lifestyle?
- Do I feel confident with my current employment status?
- Have I saved enough money for a down payment?
- How long do I plan on living in this new home?
- Is there any scenario where I might have to sell quickly and potentially lose money?
- Does buying a property now move me closer to my life goals?
- Do I really want to buy now or am I just feeling a lot of pressure to just buy something?
- Am I holding back because I'm scared property prices might drop soon?
There’s no doubt that buying a home can be stressful, but it doesn’t have to be. Having a plan in place is the best course of action to help you make good decisions and alleviate that stress.
If you’d like to have a conversation to discuss your plans, ask some questions, and map out what buying a home looks like for you, we can address many of the unknowns together.
The best place to start is to work through a mortgage pre-approval. There is no cost for this service, you’ll learn exactly what you can qualify for, and it will provide a lot of clarity about your situation.
You might decide that it’s best to wait before buying, and that’s just fine. You might find that now’s a perfect time for you to buy! If you'd like to talk, please connect anytime. You’re not in this alone. We can work through everything together.
Why a Mortgage Pre-Approval Protects Both Your Head and Your Heart There’s no denying it—buying a home is an emotional journey. In a competitive market, it can feel like you need to stretch beyond your comfort zone or bid above asking just to have a chance. That pressure can make it hard to separate what you want from what you can realistically afford. One of the biggest pitfalls buyers face is falling in love with a home that’s outside their price range. Once that happens, every other property seems like a compromise—even the ones that might have been a perfect fit otherwise. The best way to avoid this heartache? Get pre-approved before you start shopping. What a Pre-Approval Does for You A mortgage pre-approval gives you more than just a number—it provides clarity, confidence, and protection: Know your buying power : Shop within your true price range and avoid disappointment. Spot potential roadblocks : Uncover issues like credit bureau errors before you make an offer. Get organized : Learn exactly what documentation you’ll need so there are no surprises. Lock in a rate : Many lenders hold your rate for 30–120 days, giving you peace of mind if rates rise. Save yourself heartache : Protect yourself from falling for a home you can’t afford. Head vs. Heart Buying a home is about balance. Your head tells you what’s financially sound, your heart tells you what feels right—and both matter. A pre-approval helps bring those two sides together, so you can make confident choices without emotional stress clouding your judgment. The Bottom Line Looking at properties for fun is one thing—but if you’re serious about buying, a pre-approval is the smartest first step you can take. It sets realistic expectations, saves time, and protects your emotions along the way. If you’d like to explore your options and get pre-approved, I’d be happy to walk through the process with you. Let’s make sure you’re ready to shop with confidence.
This morning, the Bank of Canada raised its key interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 2.5%. Whether you own a home in Parksville or Qualicum Beach, have a renewal on the horizon, or you're in the middle of a build or commercial deal, this decision is worth understanding. Here's what changed, why it happened, and what I'd be thinking about if I were in your shoes. Why the Bank of Canada Raised Rates The short answer is inflation. Prices have been rising faster than the Bank's 2% target, and it wants to get ahead of the problem before it spreads. Here's what's behind the decision: High energy prices. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has kept oil prices elevated for months. Inflation has been running around 3% since April and is expected to reach about 3.5% by the end of the year. Rising business costs. Higher fuel and imported material costs are making it more expensive to produce and ship goods. The Bank expects more of those costs to be passed on to consumers over the next year. A stronger economy than expected. Canada's economy grew faster than forecast through the middle of the year, supported by solid consumer spending and a rebound in business investment. By raising rates now, the Bank is trying to stop high energy costs from pushing up the price of everything else. What This Means for Homeowners Variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs Lenders typically adjust their prime rate to match the Bank of Canada's moves, and variable mortgages and home equity lines of credit are tied to prime. Expect your rate to go up by about 0.25%. Depending on your mortgage, that means either a higher payment or more of your payment going to interest. Fixed-rate mortgages Your rate and payment won't change until your term ends. Fixed rates for new mortgages follow the bond market, and bond yields have already been rising, so fixed rates may stay elevated or move higher. Renewals If your renewal is within the next few months, start the conversation now. Many lenders let you secure a rate up to 120 days in advance, which can protect you if rates keep climbing. And please don't just sign your bank's renewal letter. It's rarely their best offer. Buyers Higher rates can reduce how much you qualify for. A pre-approval lets you hold a rate while you shop, so you know your real budget before making an offer. My mortgage calculators are a good place to start running numbers. What This Means for Builds, Commercial and Private Deals This is where rate changes can have the biggest ripple effect, and where planning ahead pays off most. Construction projects Many construction and draw mortgages are tied to prime during the build, so your interest costs may rise as funds are advanced. If you're mid-build, it's worth reviewing your budget for carrying costs. If you're planning a project, factor today's rates into your numbers from day one. Learn more about my construction financing services. Commercial borrowers Variable commercial loans will feel this increase directly. If you're refinancing or acquiring a property, higher rates can affect how lenders view your debt coverage, so the structure of the deal matters more than ever. See my commercial lending page for the types of files I work on. Private lending Private loans are usually short-term bridges to institutional financing. When rates are rising, your exit strategy deserves extra attention. Make sure the takeout financing still works at today's rates, not just the rates you assumed when the deal started. Read more about private lending . What to Expect Next The Bank of Canada said further increases are possible, but it plans to move carefully given uncertainty around energy prices and Canada-US trade. Its forecast has inflation averaging about 3% through 2027 before returning to the 2% target by mid-2028. The next rate announcement is scheduled for December 9, 2026 . Frequently Asked Questions What is the Bank of Canada's rate now? As of October 28, 2026, the Bank of Canada's policy rate is 2.5%, up from 2.25%. Will my mortgage payment go up? If you have a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a prime-based construction loan, it likely will. Fixed-rate mortgages won't change until the term ends. Should I lock in a fixed rate? It depends on your terms, any penalties for switching, and your plans for the property. This is exactly what my annual mortgage reviews are for, and the right answer looks different for everyone. When is the next rate announcement? December 9, 2026. Let's Talk About Your Situation Rate changes are a good reminder to check that your financing still fits your plans. Whether you're a homeowner in Parksville or Qualicum Beach, mid-way through a build, or working on a commercial or private deal anywhere on Vancouver Island, I'd be happy to review where you stand. Reach out anytime, or apply online to get started. No obligation, no pressure. This article is for general information only and is not financial advice. Rates and lender policies change often. Please speak with a licensed mortgage professional about your specific situation.
Don’t Forget About Closing Costs When planning to buy a home, most people focus on saving for the down payment. But the truth is, that’s only part of the equation. To actually finalize the purchase, you’ll also need to budget for closing costs —the out-of-pocket expenses that come up before you get the keys. Closing costs can add up quickly, which is why they should be part of your pre-approval conversation right from the start. Lenders will even require proof that you’ve got enough funds set aside. For example, if you’re getting an insured (high-ratio) mortgage, you’ll need at least 1.5% of the purchase price available in addition to your down payment. That means a 10% down payment actually requires 11.5% of the purchase price in cash to make everything work. Let’s break down some of the most common expenses you should prepare for: 1. Home Inspection & Appraisal Inspection : Paid by you, this gives peace of mind that the property is in good shape and doesn’t have hidden problems. Appraisal : Required by the lender to confirm value. Sometimes this is covered by mortgage insurance, sometimes by you. 2. Legal Fees A lawyer or notary is required to handle the title transfer and make sure the mortgage is properly registered. Legal fees are often one of the larger closing costs—unless you’re also responsible for property transfer tax. 3. Taxes Many provinces charge a property or land transfer tax based on the home’s purchase price. These fees can range from hundreds to thousands of dollars, so you’ll want to factor them in early. 4. Insurance Property insurance is mandatory—lenders won’t release funds without proof that the home is insured on closing day. Optional coverage like mortgage life, disability, or critical illness insurance may also be worth considering depending on your financial plan. 5. Moving Costs Whether you’re renting a truck, hiring movers, or bribing friends with pizza and gas money, moving comes with expenses. Cross-country moves especially can be surprisingly pricey. 6. Utilities & Deposits Setting up new services (electricity, water, internet) can involve connection fees or deposits, particularly if you don’t already have a payment history with the utility provider. Plan Ahead, Stress Less This list covers the big-ticket items, but every purchase is unique. That’s why it pays to have an accurate estimate of your personal closing costs before you make an offer. If you’d like help planning ahead—or want a breakdown tailored to your situation—let’s connect. I’d be happy to walk you through the numbers and make sure you’re fully prepared.
